Study Designs for Extending Causal Inferences From a Randomized Trial to a Target Population

Issa J. Dahabreh, Sebastien J.P.A. Haneuse, James M. Robins, Sarah E. Robertson, Ashley L. Buchanan, Elizabeth A. Stuart, Miguel A. Hernán

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In this article, we examine study designs for extending (generalizing or transporting) causal inferences from a randomized trial to a target population. Specifically, we consider nested trial designs, where randomized individuals are nested within a sample from the target population, and nonnested trial designs, including composite data-set designs, where observations from a randomized trial are combined with those from a separately obtained sample of nonrandomized individuals from the target population. We show that the counterfactual quantities that can be identified in each study design depend on what is known about the probability of sampling nonrandomized individuals. For each study design, we examine identification of counterfactual outcome means via the g-formula and inverse probability weighting. Last, we explore the implications of the sampling properties underlying the designs for the identification and estimation of the probability of trial participation.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1632-1642
Number of pages11
JournalAmerican journal of epidemiology
Volume190
Issue number8
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 1 2021

Keywords

  • causal inference
  • generalizability
  • randomized trials
  • transportability

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Epidemiology

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