TY - GEN
T1 - Simulating wait time in healthcare
T2 - Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2015
AU - Levin, Scott
AU - Garifullin, Maxim
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2015 IEEE.
PY - 2016/2/16
Y1 - 2016/2/16
N2 - Wait or queuing time is a principal performance measure for many discrete-event simulation (DES) models in healthcare. However, variation in wait time is often caused by both occupied downstream servers (e.g., beds) and organizational and human transition processes. DES models that attribute wait solely to occupied servers, ignoring transition process variability, face challenges in adequate baseline validation. Embedding regression models for survival data in DES to estimate patient wait times is a method capable of integrating the effects of transition processes with queuing. Developing these models as a sub-component is further valuable in understanding the socio-technical system factors that drive prolonged waits. These general methods are exhibited in a DES for a large urban hospital with a primary output of wait time in the emergency department (ED) for transfer to an inpatient bed (boarding time). Simulated boarding time is compared before and after accounting for transition processes using survival analysis.
AB - Wait or queuing time is a principal performance measure for many discrete-event simulation (DES) models in healthcare. However, variation in wait time is often caused by both occupied downstream servers (e.g., beds) and organizational and human transition processes. DES models that attribute wait solely to occupied servers, ignoring transition process variability, face challenges in adequate baseline validation. Embedding regression models for survival data in DES to estimate patient wait times is a method capable of integrating the effects of transition processes with queuing. Developing these models as a sub-component is further valuable in understanding the socio-technical system factors that drive prolonged waits. These general methods are exhibited in a DES for a large urban hospital with a primary output of wait time in the emergency department (ED) for transfer to an inpatient bed (boarding time). Simulated boarding time is compared before and after accounting for transition processes using survival analysis.
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U2 - 10.1109/WSC.2015.7408250
DO - 10.1109/WSC.2015.7408250
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84962911385
T3 - Proceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
SP - 1252
EP - 1260
BT - 2015 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2015
PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Y2 - 6 December 2015 through 9 December 2015
ER -