Risk of end-stage renal disease among liver transplant recipients with pretransplant renal dysfunction

Guidelines recommend restricting simultaneous liver-kidney (SLK) transplant to candidates with prolonged dialysis or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <30 mL/min/1.73m² for 90 days. However, few studies exist to support the latter recommendation. Using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients and Medicare dialysis data, we assembled a cohort of 4997 liver transplant recipients from February 27, 2002-January 1, 2008. Serial eGFRs were calculated from serum creatinines submitted with MELD reports. We categorized recipients by eGFR patterns in the 90 days pretransplant: Group 1 (eGFR always <30), Group 2 (eGFR fluctuated), Group 3 (eGFR always <30) and Group 4 (short-term dialysis). For Group 2, we characterized fluctuations in renal function using time-weighted mean eGFR. Among liver-alone recipients in Group 3, the rate of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) by 3 years was 31%, versus <10% for other groups (p < 0.001). In multivariable Cox regression, eGFR Group, diabetes (HR 2.65, p < 0.001) and black race (HR 1.83, p = 0.02) were associated with ESRD. Among liver-alone recipients in Group 2, only diabetics with time-weighted mean eGFR <30 had a substantial ESRD risk (25.6%). In summary, among liver transplant candidates not on prolonged dialysis, SLK should be considered for those whose eGFR is always <30 and diabetic candidates whose weighted mean eGFR is <30 for 90 days.