Red Teaming the Biological Sciences for Deliberate Threats

Lisa Zhang, Gigi Gronvall

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

This article describes the use of “red teaming” to analyze and forecast biological threats to U.S. national security. Red teaming is a method whereby participants adopt an adversarial perspective, and is used to stimulate critical and creative thinking without some of the flaws of other types of threat assessments, including mirror-imaging. Red team analysis is prevalent in the military, security, and commercial realms. There have been widespread calls from government and private organizations to analyze biological threats with a red teaming approach, in order to prioritize resources and to counter a wide array of biological agents. This paper includes a timeline of historical examples of both biological red team simulations and vulnerability probes, and discusses the challenges of conducting realistic, cost-effective modeling of biological agents. Finally, we propose additional analytical tools to the UK Ministry of Defense’s red team framework for the future development of structured, biological red team exercises, and discuss other existing future-oriented threat assessments in this realm.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1-20
Number of pages20
JournalTerrorism and Political Violence
DOIs
StateAccepted/In press - May 25 2018

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threat
National security
science
Mirrors
Imaging techniques
Defects
national security
ministry
Costs
vulnerability
Military
simulation
costs
resources

Keywords

  • Biosecurity
  • red team
  • threat assessment

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
  • Sociology and Political Science
  • Safety Research
  • Political Science and International Relations

Cite this

Red Teaming the Biological Sciences for Deliberate Threats. / Zhang, Lisa; Gronvall, Gigi.

In: Terrorism and Political Violence, 25.05.2018, p. 1-20.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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