Predictive accuracy in the neuroprediction of rearrest

Eyal Aharoni, Joshua Mallett, Gina M. Vincent, Carla L. Harenski, Vince D. Calhoun, Walter Sinnott-Armstrong, Michael S. Gazzaniga, Kent A. Kiehl

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

17 Scopus citations

Abstract

A recently published study by the present authors reported evidence that functional changes in the anterior cingulate cortex within a sample of 96 criminal offenders who were engaged in a Go/No-Go impulse control task significantly predicted their rearrest following release from prison. In an extended analysis, we use discrimination and calibration techniques to test the accuracy of these predictions relative to more traditional models and their ability to generalize to new observations in both full and reduced models. Modest to strong discrimination and calibration accuracy were found, providing additional support for the utility of neurobiological measures in predicting rearrest.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)332-336
Number of pages5
JournalSocial Neuroscience
Volume9
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 2014
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Anterior cingulate
  • Impulsivity
  • Prediction
  • Recidivism
  • fMRI

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Social Psychology
  • Development
  • Behavioral Neuroscience

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