Prediction intervals for survival data

Ron Brookmeyer

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


This paper concerns large sample prediction intervals for the survival times of a future sample based on an initial sample of censored survival data. Simple procedures are developed for obtaining non‐parametric and exponential prediction intervals for the future sample quantiles; the non‐parametric interval results from inversion of an appropriate test statistic. A simulation study performed under various conditions evaluates the accuracy of the proposed intervals. An adjuvant chemotherapy study of breast cancer patients illustrates the methodology.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)485-495
Number of pages11
JournalStatistics in Medicine
Issue number4
StatePublished - 1983


  • Censoring
  • Prediction intervals
  • Quantiles
  • Survival analysis

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Epidemiology
  • Statistics and Probability


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