Polydesigns and causal inference

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

In an increasingly common class of studies, the goal is to evaluate causal effects of treatments that are only partially controlled by the investigator. In such studies there are two conflicting features: (1) a model on the full cohort design and data can identify the causal effects of interest, but can be sensitive to extreme regions of that design's data, where model specification can have more impact; and (2) models on a reduced design (i.e., a subset of the full data), for example, conditional likelihood on matched subsets of data, can avoid such sensitivity, but do not generally identify the causal effects. We propose a framework to assess how inference is sensitive to designs by exploring combinations of both the full and reduced designs. We show that using such a "polydesign" framework generates a rich class of methods that can identify causal effects and that can also be more robust to model specification than methods using only the full design. We discuss implementation of polydesign methods, and provide an illustration in the evaluation of a needle exchange program.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)343-351
Number of pages9
JournalBiometrics
Volume62
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 1 2006

Keywords

  • Anchor function
  • Causal effects
  • Needle exchange program
  • Partially controlled studies
  • Polydesign
  • Principal stratification

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology(all)
  • Immunology and Microbiology(all)
  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)
  • Applied Mathematics

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