TY - JOUR
T1 - Pneumonia risk stratification scores for children in low-resource settings
T2 - A systematic literature review
AU - Deardorff, Katrina V.
AU - McCollum, Eric D.
AU - Ginsburg, Amy Sarah
N1 - Funding Information:
Accepted for publication December 6, 2017. From the *Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington School of Public Health, Seattle, Washington; †Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland; and ‡Save the Children, Seattle, Washington. E.D.M. received support from the National Institutes of Health through the Fogarty International Center of the National Institutes of Health (K01TW009988). The other authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose. Address for correspondence: Amy Sarah Ginsburg, MD, MPH, 501 Kings High-way East, #400, Fairfield, CT 06825. E-mail: aginsburg@savechildren.org. Copyright © 2018 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved. ISSN: 0891-3668/18/3708-0743 DOI: 10.1097/INF.0000000000001883
Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.
PY - 2018/8/1
Y1 - 2018/8/1
N2 - Background: Pneumonia is the leading infectious cause of death among children less than 5 years of age. Predictive tools, commonly referred to as risk scores, can be employed to identify high-risk children early for targeted management to prevent adverse outcomes. This systematic review was conducted to identify pediatric pneumonia risk scores developed, validated and implemented in low-resource settings. Methods: We searched CAB Direct, Cochrane Reviews, Embase, PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science for studies that developed formal risk scores to predict treatment failure or mortality among children less than 5 years of age diagnosed with a respiratory infection or pneumonia in low-resource settings. Data abstracted from articles included location and study design, sample size, age, diagnosis, score features and model discrimination. Results: Three pediatric pneumonia risk scores predicted mortality specifically, and 2 treatment failure. Scores developed using World Health Organization- recommended variables for pneumonia assessment demonstrated better predictive fit than scores developed using alternative features. Scores developed using routinely collected healthcare data performed similarly well as those developed using clinical trial data. No score has been implemented in low-resource settings. Conclusions: While pediatric pneumonia-specific risk scores have been developed and validated, it is yet unclear if implementation is feasible, what impact, if any, implemented scores may have on child outcomes, or how broadly scores may be generalized. To increase the feasibility of implementation, future research should focus on developing scores based on routinely collected data.
AB - Background: Pneumonia is the leading infectious cause of death among children less than 5 years of age. Predictive tools, commonly referred to as risk scores, can be employed to identify high-risk children early for targeted management to prevent adverse outcomes. This systematic review was conducted to identify pediatric pneumonia risk scores developed, validated and implemented in low-resource settings. Methods: We searched CAB Direct, Cochrane Reviews, Embase, PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science for studies that developed formal risk scores to predict treatment failure or mortality among children less than 5 years of age diagnosed with a respiratory infection or pneumonia in low-resource settings. Data abstracted from articles included location and study design, sample size, age, diagnosis, score features and model discrimination. Results: Three pediatric pneumonia risk scores predicted mortality specifically, and 2 treatment failure. Scores developed using World Health Organization- recommended variables for pneumonia assessment demonstrated better predictive fit than scores developed using alternative features. Scores developed using routinely collected healthcare data performed similarly well as those developed using clinical trial data. No score has been implemented in low-resource settings. Conclusions: While pediatric pneumonia-specific risk scores have been developed and validated, it is yet unclear if implementation is feasible, what impact, if any, implemented scores may have on child outcomes, or how broadly scores may be generalized. To increase the feasibility of implementation, future research should focus on developing scores based on routinely collected data.
KW - Children
KW - Lowresource settings
KW - Pneumonia
KW - Risk score
KW - Risk stratification
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U2 - 10.1097/INF.0000000000001883
DO - 10.1097/INF.0000000000001883
M3 - Review article
C2 - 29278608
AN - SCOPUS:85064898567
SN - 0891-3668
VL - 37
SP - 743
EP - 748
JO - Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal
JF - Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal
IS - 8
ER -