Multimodal imaging measures predict rearrest

Vaughn R. Steele, Eric D. Claus, Eyal Aharoni, Gina M. Vincent, Vince D. Calhoun, Kent A. Kiehl

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Rearrest has been predicted by hemodynamic activity in the anterior cingulate cortex (ACC) during error-processing (Aharoni et al., 2013). Here, we evaluate the predictive power after adding an additional imaging modality in a subsample of 45 incarcerated males from Aharoni et al. (2013). Event-related potentials (ERPs) and hemodynamic activity were collected during a Go/NoGo response inhibition task. Neural measures of error-processing were obtained from the ACC and two ERP components, the error-related negativity (ERN/Ne) and the error positivity (Pe). Measures from the Pe and ACC differentiated individuals who were and were not subsequently rearrested. Cox regression, logistic regression, and support vector machine (SVM) neuroprediction models were calculated. Each of these models proved successful in predicting rearrest and SVM provided the strongest results. Multimodal neuroprediction SVM models with out of sample cross-validating accurately predicted rearrest (83.33%). Offenders with increased Pe amplitude and decreased ACC activation, suggesting abnormal error-processing, were at greatest risk of rearrest.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number425
Pages (from-to)1-13
Number of pages13
JournalFrontiers in Human Neuroscience
Volume9
Issue numberAUGUST
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 3 2015
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Error-processing
  • Event-related potentials
  • Functional magnetic resonance imaging
  • Neuroprediction
  • Recidivism

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Neuropsychology and Physiological Psychology
  • Neurology
  • Psychiatry and Mental health
  • Biological Psychiatry
  • Behavioral Neuroscience

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  • Cite this

    Steele, V. R., Claus, E. D., Aharoni, E., Vincent, G. M., Calhoun, V. D., & Kiehl, K. A. (2015). Multimodal imaging measures predict rearrest. Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, 9(AUGUST), 1-13. [425]. https://doi.org/10.3389/fnhum.2015.00425