Abstract
Prediction models used in support of clinical and health policy decision making often need to consider the course of a disease over an extended period of time, and draw evidence from a broad knowledge base, including epidemiologic cohort and case control studies, randomized clinical trials, expert opinions, and more. This paper is a brief introduction to these decision models, their relation to Bayesian decision theory, and the tools typically used to describe the uncertainties involved. Concepts are illustrated throughout via a simplified tutorial.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 513-537 |
Number of pages | 25 |
Journal | Statistical Methods in Medical Research |
Volume | 11 |
Issue number | 6 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Dec 2002 |
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Epidemiology
- Health Information Management
- General Nursing