Interstitial fibrosis scored on whole-slide digital imaging of kidney biopsies is a predictor of outcome in proteinuric glomerulopathies

Background Interstitial fibrosis (IF), tubular atrophy (TA) and interstitial inflammation (II) are known determinants of progression of renal disease. Standardized quantification of these features could add value to current classification of glomerulopathies. Methods We studied 315 participants in the Nephrotic Syndrome Study Network (NEPTUNE) study, including biopsy-proven minimal change disease (MCD = 98), focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS = 121), membranous nephropathy (MN = 59) and IgA nephropathy (IgAN = 37). Cortical IF, TA and II were quantified (%) on digitized whole-slide biopsy images, by five pathologists with high inter-reader agreement (intra-class correlation coefficient >0.8). Tubulointerstitial messenger RNA expression was measured in a subset of patients. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were fit to assess association of IF with the composite of 40% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (EGFR) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and separately as well, and with complete remission (CR) of proteinuria. Results IF was highly correlated with TA (P < 0.001) and II (P < 0.001). Median IF varied by diagnosis: FSGS 17, IgAN 21, MN 7, MCD 1 (P < 0.001). IF was strongly correlated with baseline EGFR (P < 0.001) and proteinuria (P = 0.002). After adjusting for clinical pathologic diagnosis, age, race, global glomerulosclerosis, baseline proteinuria, EGFR and medications, each 10% increase in IF was associated with a hazard ratio of 1.29 (P < 0.03) for ESRD/40% EGFR decline, but was not significantly associated with CR. A total of 981 genes were significantly correlated with IF (|r| > 0.4, false discovery rate (FDR) < 0.01), including upstream regulators such as tumor necrosis factor, interferon gamma (IFN-gamma), and transforming growth factor beta 1 (TGF-B1), and signaling pathways for antigen presentation and hepatic fibrosis. Conclusions The degree of IF is associated with risk of EGFR decline across different types of proteinuric glomerulopathy, correlates with inflammatory and fibrotic gene expression, and may have predictive value in assessing risk of progression.