Erratum: Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France (Science DOI: 10.1126/science.abc3517)

Tran Kiem, N. Lefrancq, N. Courtejoie, P. Bosetti, J. Paireau, A. Andronico, N. Hozé, J. Richet, C. L. Dubost, Y. Le Strat, J. Lessler, D. Levy-Bruhl, A. Fontanet, L. Opatowski, P. Y. Boelle, S. Cauchemez

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debatepeer-review

Abstract

In the Report "Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France," the authors used data from the coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak aboard the Diamond Princess cruise ship to help calibrate their model. They made the assumption that in addition to the 14 deaths already recorded, the four individuals still in the intensive care unit (ICU) after 2 months would also ultimately die from their infection. This assumption was arrived at after speaking to physicians about long-term outcomes for those in the ICU. However, since the First Release version of this Report was posted, three of those four individuals have left the ICU. In the final published version of the Report, the authors include this new information. They assume that the one passenger still in the ICU will ultimately die, and they present a sensitivity analysis where this passenger survives. This change reduces their estimates of the infection fatality rate (from 0.65% down to 0.53%) and increases the proportion infected on 11 May 2020 (from 4.4% up to 5.3%). The estimates of R0 and the impact of the lockdown as well as all conclusions are unchanged.

Original languageEnglish (US)
JournalScience
Volume368
Issue number6498
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 26 2020

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General

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