Do Work-Related Lost-Time Injuries Sustained Early in Employment Predict Multiple Lost-Time Injuries Throughout Employment?

Xuguang Grant Tao, Nimisha Kalia, Robert A. Lavin, Sebastian A. Minor, Larry Yuspeh, Nina Leung, Nicholas F. Tsourmas, Edward J. Bernacki

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle


OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to identify a simple surrogate to predict the future risk of multiple lost-time injuries. METHOD: Employees of an academic medical center who sustained 5,906 injuries were followed from 1994 to 2017 or 1,046,218 person years. RESULTS: The odds ratio of having three or more lost-time injuries during their entire duration of employment was 2.12 (95% confidence interval: 1.60 to 2.79) for employees having their first lost-time injury within the first 6 months of employment versus those injured after that, controlling for demographics and employment duration. For each increasing year before the first lost-time injury, the probability of having three or more lost-time injuries decreased by 13%. CONCLUSIONS: Employment duration before the first lost-time injury may be used to predict future lost-time injuries without detailed information of underlying risk factors.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)e422-e426
JournalJournal of occupational and environmental medicine
Issue number10
StatePublished - Oct 1 2019


ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

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