Climate variability and flood-risk management

Jery R. Stedinger, Ciprian M. Crainiceanu

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Evidence accumulates that climate has changed, is changing, and will continue to do so [NRC 1998]. As our understanding of these processes improves, how should water resources planning and flood-risk management evolve? Using the upper Mississippi River Basin as an example, this paper investigates how flood risk estimation and risk forecasting might be done in a world with variable flood risk. Four alternative forecasting approaches are developed using reasonable models for climate variability, and the resulting estimates of average flood risk and the equivalent economic risk are compared.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 9th United Engineering Foundation Conference on Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources - Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources IX
Pages77-86
Number of pages10
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 1 2000
Externally publishedYes
Event9th United Engineering Foundation Conference on Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources - Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources IX - Santa Barbara, CA, United States
Duration: Oct 15 2000Oct 20 2000

Publication series

NameProceedings of the 9th United Engineering Foundation Conference on Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources - Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources IX
Volume306

Other

Other9th United Engineering Foundation Conference on Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources - Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources IX
CountryUnited States
CitySanta Barbara, CA
Period10/15/0010/20/00

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
  • Water Science and Technology

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