TY - GEN
T1 - Climate variability and flood-risk management
AU - Stedinger, Jery R.
AU - Crainiceanu, Ciprian M.
PY - 2000
Y1 - 2000
N2 - Evidence accumulates that climate has changed, is changing, and will continue to do so [NRC 1998]. As our understanding of these processes improves, how should water resources planning and flood-risk management evolve? Using the upper Mississippi River Basin as an example, this paper investigates how flood risk estimation and risk forecasting might be done in a world with variable flood risk. Four alternative forecasting approaches are developed using reasonable models for climate variability, and the resulting estimates of average flood risk and the equivalent economic risk are compared.
AB - Evidence accumulates that climate has changed, is changing, and will continue to do so [NRC 1998]. As our understanding of these processes improves, how should water resources planning and flood-risk management evolve? Using the upper Mississippi River Basin as an example, this paper investigates how flood risk estimation and risk forecasting might be done in a world with variable flood risk. Four alternative forecasting approaches are developed using reasonable models for climate variability, and the resulting estimates of average flood risk and the equivalent economic risk are compared.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=58749101041&partnerID=8YFLogxK
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U2 - 10.1061/40577(306)7
DO - 10.1061/40577(306)7
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:58749101041
SN - 9780784405772
T3 - Proceedings of the 9th United Engineering Foundation Conference on Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources - Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources IX
SP - 77
EP - 86
BT - Proceedings of the 9th United Engineering Foundation Conference on Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources - Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources IX
T2 - 9th United Engineering Foundation Conference on Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources - Risk-Based Decisionmaking in Water Resources IX
Y2 - 15 October 2000 through 20 October 2000
ER -