Can we reverse the HIV/AIDS pandemic with an expanded response?

John Stover, Neff Walker, Geoff P. Garnett, Joshua A. Salomon, Karen A. Stanecki, Peter D. Ghys, Nicholas C. Grassly, Roy M. Anderson, Bernhard Schwartländer

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


HIV/AIDS has reached pandemic proportions, and is one of the leading causes of death worldwide. In 2001, the Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS set out several aims with respect to reducing the effect and spread of HIV/AIDS, and an expanded response in low-income and middle-income countries was initiated. Here we examine the potential effect of the expanded global response based on analyses of epidemiological data, of mathematical models of HIV-1 transmission, and a review of the impact of prevention interventions on risk behaviours. Analyses suggest that if the successes achieved in some countries in prevention of transmission can be expanded to a global scale by 2005, about 29 million new infections could be prevented by 2010.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)73-77
Number of pages5
Issue number9326
StatePublished - Jul 6 2002
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Medicine(all)

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