TY - JOUR
T1 - Applying symptom dynamics to accurately predict influenza virus infection
T2 - An international multicenter influenza-like illness surveillance study
AU - Li, Jin Hua
AU - Wu, Chin Chieh
AU - Tseng, Yi Ju
AU - Han, Shih Tsung
AU - Pekosz, Andrew
AU - Rothman, Richard
AU - Chen, Kuan Fu
N1 - Funding Information:
The authors would like to thank Ms. Chia-Yu Chao and Wen-Chia Chao for their contribution to the administrative task and data analysis.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 The Authors. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
PY - 2023/1
Y1 - 2023/1
N2 - Background: Public health organizations have recommended various definitions of influenza-like illnesses under the assumption that the symptoms do not change during influenza virus infection. To explore the relationship between symptoms and influenza over time, we analyzed a dataset from an international multicenter prospective emergency department (ED)-based influenza-like illness cohort study. Methods: We recruited patients in the US and Taiwan between 2015 and 2020 with: (1) flu-like symptoms (fever and cough, headache, or sore throat), (2) absence of any of the respiratory infection symptoms, or (3) positive laboratory test results for influenza from the current ED visit. We evaluated the association between the symptoms and influenza virus infection on different days of illness. The association was evaluated among different subgroups, including different study countries, influenza subtypes, and only patients with influenza. Results: Among the 2471 recruited patients, 45.7% tested positive for influenza virus. Cough was the most predictive symptom throughout the week (odds ratios [OR]: 7.08–11.15). In general, all symptoms were more predictive during the first 2 days (OR: 1.55–10.28). Upper respiratory symptoms, such as sore throat and productive cough, and general symptoms, such as body ache and fatigue, were more predictive in the first half of the week (OR: 1.51–3.25). Lower respiratory symptoms, such as shortness of breath and wheezing, were more predictive in the second half of the week (OR: 1.52–2.52). Similar trends were observed for most symptoms in the different subgroups. Conclusions: The time course is an important factor to be considered when evaluating the symptoms of influenza virus infection.
AB - Background: Public health organizations have recommended various definitions of influenza-like illnesses under the assumption that the symptoms do not change during influenza virus infection. To explore the relationship between symptoms and influenza over time, we analyzed a dataset from an international multicenter prospective emergency department (ED)-based influenza-like illness cohort study. Methods: We recruited patients in the US and Taiwan between 2015 and 2020 with: (1) flu-like symptoms (fever and cough, headache, or sore throat), (2) absence of any of the respiratory infection symptoms, or (3) positive laboratory test results for influenza from the current ED visit. We evaluated the association between the symptoms and influenza virus infection on different days of illness. The association was evaluated among different subgroups, including different study countries, influenza subtypes, and only patients with influenza. Results: Among the 2471 recruited patients, 45.7% tested positive for influenza virus. Cough was the most predictive symptom throughout the week (odds ratios [OR]: 7.08–11.15). In general, all symptoms were more predictive during the first 2 days (OR: 1.55–10.28). Upper respiratory symptoms, such as sore throat and productive cough, and general symptoms, such as body ache and fatigue, were more predictive in the first half of the week (OR: 1.51–3.25). Lower respiratory symptoms, such as shortness of breath and wheezing, were more predictive in the second half of the week (OR: 1.52–2.52). Similar trends were observed for most symptoms in the different subgroups. Conclusions: The time course is an important factor to be considered when evaluating the symptoms of influenza virus infection.
KW - cough
KW - influenza
KW - influenza-like illness
KW - symptom prediction
KW - syndromic surveillance
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U2 - 10.1111/irv.13081
DO - 10.1111/irv.13081
M3 - Article
C2 - 36480419
AN - SCOPUS:85144054262
SN - 1750-2640
VL - 17
JO - Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses
JF - Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses
IS - 1
M1 - e13081
ER -